Wry & Dry

Follow the money - plus odds for W&D's column-inch favourites

A week is a long time in politics.  Or so someone famous once said.*

And this week we have seen the momentum of Donald Trump increasing - the wrong way for him.  He's fired his campaign manager and put a sock in his own mouth.  Just kidding - only the former is true.

Locally, it's settled into a war of attrition, stalemate across the trenches, if you will.  The Coalition eased slightly and Labor firmed a lot, with the big moves in NSW, where Labor has firmed into outright favouritism in three seats (Eden-Monaro, Page and McArthur), on top of the three it picks up because of the electoral boundary redistribution: Barton, Dobell and Paterson.  

But the bookies' outcome still has the Coalition winning.

Looking at W&D column-inch favourites:

Jacqui Lambie, Tasmanian Senator: $1.25.  Former Clive Palmer acolyte.  Put your glasses down, she'll be back.  The average IQ of the Senate will remain depressed.

Pauline Hanson, wannabee Queensland Senator: $1.60.  Like a Phoenix from the ashes...  Will match Senator Lambie brain-cell for brain-cell.

Derryn Hinch, wannabee Victorian Senator: $1.60.  Will benefit strongly from preferences.  Crowd favourite.

Glenn Lazarus, Queensland Senator: $2.00.  Former Clive Palmer acolyte.   The 'brick with eyes'.  Similar IQ.

Ricky Muir, Victorian Senator: $5.00.  Motoring Enthusiasts Party.  Back to Centrelink.

Chris Jermyn, wannabee Liberal member for McEwen (Victoria): $8.50.  Had a chance to turn a marginal Labor seat to Liberal win (especially with massive numbers of CFA members in the seat), but will make it a safe Labor seat.  A Liberal party pre-selection disaster.

Sophie 'I want my seat back' Mirabella, wannabee Liberal member for Indi: $11.  Lost the seat in a recount to Independent Cathy McGowan in 2013.  Ambition significantly higher than IQ.  Another Liberal party pre-selection disaster.

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Former British Prime Minister Harold Wilson, 1964: "The challenger is enjoying a surge in popularity after the debate, but there's still time before the election, and a week is a long time in politics."

Harold Wilson was the pipe-smoking, avuncular Labour Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 1964 to 1970, and again from 1974 to 1976. He had an impressive educational background, becoming an Oxford don at 21 and working as a war time civil servant; he was made a government minister immediately after he was elected to Parliament. His governments were beset by economic difficulties and his premiership was part of a global phenomenon of amazingly incompetent leaders of the early and mid 1970s: Nixon (USA), Wilson/ Heath/ Callaghan (UK), Brezhnev (Soviet Union), Mao Zedong (China), McMahon/ Whitlam (Australia).